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Search: Posts Made By: layman
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Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
30th Sep 2021, 22:15
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

Victoria reported 1,438 cases yesterday. ...

Victoria reported 1,438 cases yesterday.

Also reported that 93% of these cases were unvaccinated.

In a couple of weeks about 7% of theses cases will end up in hospital (~100) with about 1%...
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
26th Sep 2021, 13:51
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

Heard today from a friend who's daughter works as...

Heard today from a friend who's daughter works as a doctor in a SE Qld hospital.

Little / no elective surgery as they are keeping beds 'free' for the expected post 70-80% Covid surge.

Adding...
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
26th Sep 2021, 10:43
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

A Federal ICAC with ‘teeth’ will require a change...

A Federal ICAC with ‘teeth’ will require a change of govt.

FOI was pushed through parliament in the 1st 6 months of the Hawke govt.

Gareth Evans said he only had 6 months before fellow...
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
18th Sep 2021, 08:30
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

Probably very much an outlier, but a 69 year old...

Probably very much an outlier, but a 69 year old gentleman was released from Westmead hospital earlier this month, 399 days after being admitted with Covid

Are there still any doubters about being...
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
31st Aug 2021, 01:37
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

Supply it and they will come

ACT 70+ year olds now at 99.45% having had their first dose ... and still going higher each day.

Supply (of an ‘acceptable’ vaccine) & our ability to deliver, would seem to be the main...
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
25th Aug 2021, 05:07
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

SHVC "...80% then it’s go time no excuses." ...

SHVC

"...80% then it’s go time no excuses."

I might be misinterpreting the intent of your statement, but this does not appear to be what the Doherty Institute modelling is suggesting. My...
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
25th Aug 2021, 00:53
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

Not just WA & Qld

WA, SA, Qld, & Tas all seem to have the same border restrictions.
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
24th Aug 2021, 10:36
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

97+% vaccination rates

Reported on the ABCs page "Tracking Australia's COVID vaccine rollout"

As of 24 August, 97.85% of ACT 70+ year olds have had their first vaccination.

If other Australians are as committed,...
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
22nd Aug 2021, 12:47
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

Excess deaths during Covid

Not the first time this site has been cited. The "Our World in Data" web site has a variety of graphs showing death rates from 2015 to the present.

The "Excess Mortality" graph (default country is...
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
18th Aug 2021, 23:55
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

Vaccination rates to reach 95%???

Just looking at reported vaccination rates, more than 95% in the 70+ age group in the ACT have received at least one dose (83+% Australia wide).

95% of ACT 70+ year olds should be double-dosed by...
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
16th Aug 2021, 04:27
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

The link is to a bill proposed by Craig Kelly....

The link is to a bill proposed by Craig Kelly. I'd be somewhat surprised if this was to become law.
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
15th Aug 2021, 22:39
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

Vaccination passports

As had been said several times before, vaccination passports aren’t new.

I came across my old vaccination record the other week (passport sized pale yellow booklet): smallpox, cholera, yellow...
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
12th Aug 2021, 22:23
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

KRviator Profiling using names & faces...

KRviator

Profiling using names & faces mightn’t tell you much

Had an Indian born & educated student with a very English name (something like John Brown)

Also had many Australian born &...
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
9th Aug 2021, 04:32
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

Long Covid

On the weekend was speaking to someone who had Covid about August(?) last year.

Most days good but some days ‘crashing’ by mid-afternoon; just plain tired.

Over 70 but a keen bush walker &...
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
9th Aug 2021, 04:28
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

Why we need to flatten the curve

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-08-09/sydney-covid-patients-redirected-to-wollongong-hospital/100361200

Sydney numbers are high but I wouldn’t have thought them catastrophic and yet patients are...
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
28th Jul 2021, 23:40
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

Not comparing apples with apples but ... as has...

Not comparing apples with apples but ... as has been mentioned many times before, perhaps the reason for lockdowns is to ‘save’ the health system (and lives in general) not just from Covid.
...
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
26th Jun 2021, 22:55
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

Heard on radio this morning … Family party...

Heard on radio this morning …

Family party at Hoxton Park:
* 5 who were fully vaccinated did not contact COVID
* 5 of the 10 others contracted COVID.

Very small case study but a good...
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
8th Apr 2021, 07:58
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

Not quite ... 51 million doses of Novovax on...

Not quite ... 51 million doses of Novovax on order for Australia for delivery in 2021

https://www.health.gov.au/node/18777/australias-vaccine-agreements
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
15th Mar 2021, 02:27
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

“Outbreak of one case” Italy went from 1...

“Outbreak of one case”

Italy went from 1 case to 170,000 in 6 weeks; New York from 12 to 200,000 in less than 7 weeks.

We’re better prepared now but it can very quickly get away from us.
...
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
9th Mar 2021, 06:48
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

Quarantine for international arrivals. A...

Quarantine for international arrivals.

A friend of a friend of a friend (it is a rumour network) heard that DFAT are working on quarantine possibly being required for a further 18 months to 2...
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
5th Feb 2021, 20:45
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

Climb150 97% of fatal bicycle accident...

Climb150

97% of fatal bicycle accident victims were not wearing a helmet

74% of severe injuries (mainly head trauma) were not wearing a helmet

Mandatory or not, wearing a helmet seems to be...
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
16th Jan 2021, 02:07
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

neville_nobody (and others) As asked before,...

neville_nobody (and others)

As asked before, what verifiable information do you offer in place of published scientific research?

You seem to omitting the effect of ‘peer review’ from your...
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
16th Dec 2020, 19:03
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-12-17/are-airline...

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-12-17/are-airline-crews-weakest-link-in-coronavirus-quarantine/12989508

For those who haven’t heard, the current ‘community spread’ cases in Sydney originated from...
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
26th Oct 2020, 23:17
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

Sorry. Can't agree.. It seems NSW are unable...

Sorry. Can't agree..

It seems NSW are unable / unwilling / too lazy to differentiate between regional Victoria and Melbourne.

The ACT manages this by examining postcodes. Why can't NSW do the...
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
26th Oct 2020, 21:59
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

Regional Victoria is ‘banned’ as well even with...

Regional Victoria is ‘banned’ as well even with lower case numbers than Sydney.

The ACT has a list of Victorian postcodes that can come to Canberra without quarantine but that seems too hard for...
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
26th Oct 2020, 21:09
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

Ragnor The NSW border is still closed to...

Ragnor

The NSW border is still closed to people in Victoria.

Even NSW residents, who have only been in regional Victoria, have to spend two weeks quarantine in Sydney to get home.

And NSW...
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
8th Oct 2020, 23:05
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

KRviator In that context, ALL states &...

KRviator

In that context, ALL states & territories are totally open

Melburnians being the only exception
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
8th Oct 2020, 10:27
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

“All of NSW remains totally open” Totally...

“All of NSW remains totally open”

Totally wrong !!

Try driving from Victoria into NSW. Can’t be done except for small border areas and requires a permit.

Even NSW residents in regional...
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
10th Sep 2020, 10:01
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

Just some general comments on peer review...

Just some general comments on peer review (academic, not science)

Tonight I’m in the process of peer reviewing (rejecting!) a paper for one discipline’s annual conference. I don’t know the...
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
22nd Aug 2020, 05:15
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

So why is NSW stopping ACT residents from driving...

So why is NSW stopping ACT residents from driving from a Covid-19 free area in regional Victoria? There was a small window where you could travel from Albury to Canberra. It would have taken us...
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
17th Aug 2020, 08:59
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

Perhaps because active cases can grow rather...

Perhaps because active cases can grow rather rapidly:
https://covidlive.com.au/report/daily-active-cases/vic
Active Cases in Victoira
1 May: 53
1 June: 71
1 July: 370
1 Aug: 5,919
17 Aug: 7,474
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
14th Jul 2020, 03:30
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

currawong Thanks ... my hope then becomes...

currawong

Thanks ... my hope then becomes that even with limited data, the experts in epidemiology & statistics being able to develop ‘sensible’ analysis & suggestions for future directions.
...
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
13th Jul 2020, 11:51
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

currawong Many thanks. I’ve seen snippets of...

currawong

Many thanks. I’ve seen snippets of this information elsewhere but not such wide-ranging summary.

The ‘whole-of-world’ report in 5(?) years time will make for sobering reading.
Forum: Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific
12th Jul 2020, 23:57
Replies: 9,802
Views: 1,794,584
Posted By layman

Bend alot Belgium is counting differently to...

Bend alot

Belgium is counting differently to most countries

”Belgian officials say they are counting in a way that no other country in the world is currently doing: counting deaths in hospitals...
Showing results 1 to 34 of 34


 
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